MAKE YOUR PLAY

SI Predict is a next-generation prediction market platform licensed by Sports Illustrated that lets you trade on the outcome of real-world events. It’s an intuitive, blockchain-powered exchange where users buy and sell shares in answer to yes-or-no questions about sports, politics, pop culture and more. Unlike traditional betting, SI Predict is peer-to-peer – you’re trading against other users in an open market, not against a “house.” This means prices are driven by supply and demand from all participants, reflecting the crowd’s collective opinion on the likelihood of each outcome . The platform is built on the Truth Network blockchain for transparency and runs 24/7, so you can make predictions any time, day or night.

A prediction market is a peer-to-peer system where users exchange positions on the outcome of real-world events. Each event is posed as a yes-or-no question, and participants can support the side they believe is more likely to occur, for instance “Will Celebrity A show up to the finals?”. If you think the answer is yes, you buy “Yes” shares; if you think the answer is no, you buy “No” shares. The price of a share (in USDC, a stablecoin pegged to the US dollar) ranges from $0 to $1 and reflects the market’s perceived probability of that outcome. These shares can be bought and sold at any time. For instance, if a “Yes” share is trading at $0.65, the market believes there’s a 65% chance of the event happening. If the event indeed happens and resolves “Yes,” each “Yes” share pays out $1; if not, those shares expire worthless. Essentially, you profit by buying low and selling high or by holding winning shares until resolution. This crowd-driven pricing gives a live forecast of the event’s odds, and you can trade in and out at any time before the market resolves.

While SI Predict taps into the excitement of speculating on sports and events, it not a traditional sportsbook. There are no bookmaker setting odds or taking a cut of losses. Instead, SI Predict provides a marketplace where users trade directly with each other on event outcomes. This has a few key advantages:

• Peer-to-Peer Trading: All trades occur between users, not against the platform. SI Predict itself does not act as the “house”, meaning it doesn’t take the opposite side of your position. You’re leveraging the wisdom of the crowd, not betting against a house.
• Dynamic Odds: Prices (odds) move organically based on user activity. If new information breaks or public sentiment shifts, the price adjusts in real time. You’re free to buy or sell at any point before resolution to lock in profits or cut losses, offering you more flexibility.
• Curated Markets: SI Predict focuses on legally compliant and creative propositions adjacent to sports and current events, rather than straightforward game outcomes. For example, you might predict if a star player will be traded this season or what song a halftime performer will sing, rather than betting on who wins a game. This keeps the experience fun and engaging without the regulatory complexity of traditional sports wagers.
• No House Edge: There are no hidden “house odds” skewing the payouts. Aside from a small trading fee (if applicable) or minor network fees, the payout structure is transparent - winning shares always redeem at $1.00. This transparency and fairness set prediction markets apart from conventional betting.

SI Predict is structured to avoid the need for financial or gambling regulation under current interpretations. Markets are carefully chosen and worded by a compliance board to avoid regulated gambling products, meaning SI Predict steers clear of wagers that would require a gambling license. Because users trade stablecoin tokens rather than place traditional bets, and outcomes are verified via a decentralized network, SI Predict occupies a compliant niche that allows broad participation. All users must be at least 18 years old (or legal age in their jurisdiction) and, if using fiat payments, complete identity verification (KYC) through our partner MoonPay. SI Predict is available globally in jurisdictions where prediction markets and crypto trading are permitted. (If you are in a location with restrictions on online gambling or crypto transactions, you may be unable to use the platform – the KYC process will inform you of any such restrictions.) By ensuring every user is verified and every market is vetted for compliance, SI Predict provides a safe and legal environment for participants around the world.